The Washington Post published the 4-page official US Government Assessment on the Syrian Government’s Use of Chemical Weapons. This report is the proof that allegedly justifies our mini-war against Syria.
The report which was released Friday, and which was referred to by Secretary of State John Kerry on Friday, states that ‘a large body of independent sources indicates that a chemical weapons attack took place in theDamascus suburbs on August 21. In addition to U.S. intelligence information, there are accounts from international and Syrian medical personnel; videos; witness accounts; thousands of social media reports from at least 12 different locations in the Damascus area; journalist accounts; and reports from highly credible nongovernmental organizations.’
The evidence from the unclassified portions of the intelligence report:
Assad has a large cache of sarin, mustard gas, and VX.
Assad has control over the weapons.
The US government has high confidence that the Assad regime used the weapons because the regime had planned gas attacks and the victims had been gassed.
The regime has the capability to carry out such a strike.
The regime is frustrated by the opposition.
Three days prior to the attack, they collected streams of human, signals and geospatial intelligence that showed the regime’s activities pointed to preparation for an attack.
There was an attack on August 21. Their evidence is 100 videos. ‘We have identified one hundred videos attributed to the attack, many of which show largenumbers of bodies exhibiting physical signs consistent with, but not unique to, nerve agent exposure.’ [Videos?]
Also included in their evidence is the US government’s belief that the opposition couldn’t fabricate the videos. ‘We assess the Syrian opposition does not have the capability to fabricate all of the videos, physical symptoms verified by medical personnel and NGOs, and other information associated with this chemical attack.’
The US government has a body of information and Syrian past practice which also leads them to the belief that the regime is guilty.
They have other communications and circumstantial information: ‘We intercepted communications involving a senior official intimately familiar with the offensive who confirmed that chemical weapons were used by the regime on August 21 and was concerned with the U.N.inspectors obtaining evidence. On the afternoon of August 21, we have intelligence that Syrian chemical weapons personnel were directed to cease operations. At the same time, the regime intensified the artillery barrage targeting many of the neighborhoods where chemical attacksoccurred. In the 24 hour period after the attack, we detected indications of artillery and rocketfire at a rate approximately four times higher than the ten preceding days.’
The report concludes that there is a substantial body of information that implicates the regime.
Up until the 29th, the Obama administration claimed to have the smoking gun which turned out to be a doctored report on the communication involving the senior official.
The communication was first picked up by Israel’s channel 2 which reported that the chemical attack was carried out by the 155th Brigade of the 4th Armored Division of the Syrian Army, an elite unit commanded by Maher al-Assad, the president’s brother.
However, the opposite proved true. The communication showed that the general staff officer asked the major if he had released the weapons. There was confusion among the ranks until they checked their arsenal and all weapons were accounted for.
The major “hotly denied firing any of his missiles.”
The communication actually approved the opposite. It supported Assad’s contention that they did not fire the chemical weapons.
The UN has completed their collection of samples. They will attempt to determine if a chemical attack occurred but are not trying to determine who fired the rockets. They have urged President Obama to refrain from action until their report is complete. Many in Congress want him to ask Congress for the right to strike Syria. The American people – 79% according to an NBC/WSJ poll – want the president to bring it before Congress.
The Obama Doctrine is apparently to draw a red line, level perfunctory attacks, and try to save face. This policy is a sure-fire way to recruit terrorist candidates for al Qaeda.
If Iran, Egypt, Russia, Hezbollah or any of the countries in the mid-East react after we attack, we could face an escalation of war in the region. Israel could be in grave danger.
So far Mr. Obama has given the impression he doesn’t want to go to war. He describes himself as war-weary. He said he only intends to shoot across the bow and leave within three days.
He sounds like he is pleading with Syria to not take his necessary attack too seriously.
Mr. Obama told the enemy exactly what he has planned to do. He has outlined no clear goals. He is telegraphing to the world that we are weak and powerless. Iran will undoubtedly take this as a cue to build the bomb.