Data’s wildly off so Berenson wants you to explain the national folly

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The projections from the data were wildly off base but were the basis for this national lockdown. Remember when you hear that social distancing and other measures are why the projections are now being revised down: key data models assumed full social distancing.

Check out this thread and give me your views:

And check out this:

From the April 1 model:

IT’S ENOUGH ALREADY

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Greg
5 years ago

With the polls that Fox came out with we’ll be lucky if the economy is, at the Very best, sluggish. Even that may be an overstatement. It appears people will Not just go out and do business.

Immunity Certificate Please Comrade
5 years ago

Garbage in, garbage out. Did the Boeing engineers do the input?
Tell us what to do digital god, save us from ourselves.
Alexa why am I a hivemind slave?

Greg
5 years ago

This is a chart of the computed R0 factor over time. The site doesn’t link to where the data comes from but it does show the decline. The pro-lockdown MAGA crowd told us the CDC had the R0 factor at 4, which would be devastating because of the exponential curve it produces. It seems they believe that is a constant,… Read more »

Greg
5 years ago

The doctor on Fox said some patients were in the hospital for about 4 weeks before passing on. That patient would certainly be counted as a “new death”. Doesn’t that by itself say a great deal. Essentially there is NO data that is truly “real time”. It all lags by varying degrees. Doesn’t THIS say even more. When speaking of… Read more »

pa l
5 years ago
Reply to  Greg

If a patient lingers in the hospital for 4 weeks before passing, then either the treatment of HCQ and zinc was not administered, or the patient actually transpired from some other illness and the death was attributed to coronavirus, or the hospital care was inept. Wuflu does not let someone linger that long, either they get better in a week,… Read more »