The Straits of Hormuz have never been closed. The last time it was an issue was in the late 1980s when Iran and Israel were in a nasty war. It spilled over into the Persian Gulf so that 450 tankers were attacked. It was dubbed the Tanker War. There was a massive escalation in war insurance by 7 to 10%. The greatest risk to shipping in the area is the cost of insurance.
Iran can control the Straits with their air force, but Israelis seriously degraded it. It’s not likely they’d take off, especially with Strike groups and other ships nearby.
Missiles are ineffective. Mines are effective but it would cause an issue with the UN and the US and UK maintain a fleet of mine hunters in the area.
Are they really going to cut off oil to China? It would also close commerce for the Iranians.
Iran is not causing trouble in the straight because they made a deal with Trump. The disruption of oil transport is still possible if Israel cannot be controlled. Israel openly defied Trump’s cease fire order and angered him like never before. It’s all over the internet on reputable sites, even the Israel fan Bannon covered it. But of course we… Read more »
The author speaks logically from a semi-real world perspective.
Ali Hosseini Khamenei is living in a world of subjective reality, maddened by hatred, misled by the teachings of Satan’s lying minion and child molester. For all we know he may be suicidal (not just for himself, but for the nation). Expect the absurd.
Yup! They WOULD “Cut off their noses to spite their face.”