This is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.
~ Winston Churchill at a mayor’s luncheon
Trent Telenko spent 10 years as an Army vehicle auditor in the Defense Department in Sealy, Texas. He inspected military vehicles damaged in the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, providing him with the background to comment on the Russian vehicles and the slow progress in Ukraine.
In early March, Telenko spotted a social media photograph of a Russian Pantsir-S1 missile system located near the Ukrainian city of Kherson. The tires immediately stood out to him.
The tires were cheap, low-quality, Chinese tires, not adequate to support the weight of the Pantsir-S1, he says.
In a thread that caught the attention of thousands on Twitter, Telenko identified widespread Russian neglect of the entire fleet.
They are gradually destroying their truck fleet which means it’s the eventual end of the supply line.
For the sin of being the new guy, I was the DCMA quality auditor in charge of the US Army’s FMTV “vehicle exercise program” at the contractor manufacturing them from the Mid-1990’s to the mid-2000’s Then we got more new guys.
Short form: Military trucks need to be…
— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) March 2, 2022
When you leave military truck tires in one place for months on end. The side walls get rotted/brittle such that using low tire pressure setting for any appreciable distance will cause the tires to fail catastrophically via rips.
See early video:
— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) March 2, 2022
There is a huge operational level implication in this. If the Russian Army was too corrupt to exercise a Pantsir-S1. They were too corrupt to exercise the trucks & wheeled AFV’s now in Ukraine.
The Russians simply cannot risk them off road during the Rasputitsa/Mud season
7/ pic.twitter.com/rkJjIInK20— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) March 2, 2022
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And there is photographic evidence of this.
There are 60(+) Russian army trucks crowded & parked on this raised road bed to avoid the fate of the mud-bogged Pantsir-S1.
— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) March 2, 2022
What that means is that as long as and where ever the Spring Rasputitsa is happening. The Russian Army attack front is three wheeled AFV’s wide.
When the Ukrainians can block the road with ATGM destroyed vehicles. They can move down either side of the road like Fins in 1939
10/ pic.twitter.com/RgHu2u1Exf— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) March 2, 2022
…destroying Russian truck columns.
The Crimea is a desert and the South Ukrainian coastal areas are dryer. So we are not seeing this there.
But elsewhere the Russians have a huge problem for the next 4-to-6 weeks.
11/End pic.twitter.com/LdQjVKVpHE— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) March 2, 2022
Smart Military Generals send in their “junk” so opposing forces waste high end resources on the “Junk”. Wasting an anti-tank missile on a lightly armored vehicle with used tires is what you want your enemy to do. I may be giving too much credit to Russian Generals, but I doubt it. When we went into Afghanistan in the early days of the war we sent a lot of junk left over from Gulf War I. Trust me the release of just one Hypersonic missile has the Western Generals changing their “Brown” pants because Russia has small nuclear tips to put on them. We don’t have reliable defenses against these missiles. Russia does have leading edge Military Technology and trying to tell Americans that don’t is extremely dangerous because the Politicians may start to believe that propaganda too.
Remember, Most Politicians aren’t that smart, they just lie convincingly well. After Russia achieves its objectives in destroying Ukraine Military, Nuclear, and Bio-Lab assets they may just pull out and let Russian Loyalist finish off the Ukraine Government in a prolonged Civil War. In any case, Volodymyr Zelenskyy will leave his country a waste land that the West will probably spend Trillions trying to rebuild. China has already achieved it’s objective in further eroding the USD as the World Reserve Currency. If China moves on Taiwan the USD will collapse. Having a demented fool as President is far more dangerous than Putin.
Breaking-1 Hour Ago-Putin says that “non-friendly” countries will have to pay for gas in rubles.
Let the drooling hive dullards go all in on the vodka man bad big dumb Ivan agitprop.
They are saving the good stuff for the Big Battle with NATO and the west.
The Sukhoi planes are not MIC no go showboats and the Armada tank is formidable.
The Doomsday Boomer subs can pull up at any time off the coasts of Chiquitastan and deliver some Fundamental Transformation at 7500 degrees.
Where are our hypersonic missiles or are those a construct of the white male capitalist patriarchy?
Ukraine would probably be partitioned but the west and Pied Piper Zelensky need WWIII because Schwab has ordered it and it is must have.
Trump says Putin likes to throw around the n-word, nuclear, which means that he has his nuclear rifle loaded and aimed as he feels ZERO love for useless faculty lounge idiots who want to see America burned to the ground and transformed into Wakanda.