If the Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal goes according to the current draft, then fighting will stop in Gaza for 42 days, and dozens of Israeli hostages and hundreds of Palestinian prisoners will be freed.
Israel agreed to release 1,300 terrorists – fighters – cease fighting Hamas, and leave most of Gaza in return for the release of only 33 hostages (out of 98), of which only 23 are alive and 10 are dead.
Incoming National Security Advisor Mike Walz on Fox News on Wednesday:
“I’d like to make something very clear to Israelis: if you need to go back in, we are with you. We are 100% committed to destroying Hamas as a military organization.”
In this first phase, Israeli troops will pull back to the edges of Gaza, and many Palestinians will be able to return to what remains of their homes as stepped-up aid flows in.
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That will depend on even more negotiations meant to begin within weeks. In those talks, Israel, Hamas, and the U.S., Egyptian, and Qatari mediators will have to tackle the tough issue of how Gaza will be governed. Israel demands the elimination of Hamas.
Gaza wants to put someone worse in charge – the Palestinian Authority.
Without a deal, the ceasefire could end.
This deal could still fall through, but it looks like Phase I will go through. Hamas wants it over before Trump takes office.
Draft of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal
PHASE 1: (42 days)
- Hamas releases 33 hostages, including female civilians and soldiers, children and civilians over 50
- Israel releases 30 Palestinian prisoners for each civilian hostage and 50 for each female soldier
- Halt to fighting, Israeli forces move out of populated areas to the edges of the Gaza Strip
- Displaced Palestinians begin returning home; more aid enters the strip
PHASE 2: (42 days)
- Declaration of “sustainable calm.”
- Hamas frees remaining male hostages (soldiers and civilians) in exchange for a yet-to-be-negotiated number of Palestinian prisoners and a full withdrawal of Israeli troops from the Gaza Strip.
PHASE 3:
- Bodies of deceased Israeli hostages exchanged for bodies of deceased Palestinian fighters
- Implementation of a reconstruction plan in Gaza
- Border crossings for movement in and out of Gaza are reopened
Which hostages and how many Palestinians will be released is complicated. The 33 will include women, children, and those over 50 — almost all civilians, but the deal also commits Hamas to free all living female soldiers. Hamas will release living hostages first, but if the living doesn’t complete the 33 number, bodies will be handed over. Not all hostages are held by Hamas, so getting other militant groups to hand them over could be an issue.
Many of the hostages we thought were alive are probably dead. Of the seven American hostages, four are confirmed dead.
Right now… I don’t want to be ‘articulate’ and ‘calm’ and ‘polished’… I’m not. This is CRAZY. pic.twitter.com/PlZX8JFMYh
— Erin Molan (@Erin_Molan) January 14, 2025
pic.twitter.com/0xf5P4LSfu
Watch: Palestinian civilians in Gaza flooded the streets to celebrate and welcome back the terrorists of Hamas who were carrying Israeli hostages into Gaza after they massacred 1200 people in Israel on October 7, 2023.As you can hear in this video, the…
— Liza Rosen (@LizaRosen0000) January 7, 2025
Updated: Erin Molan tape and Mike Walz’s comment.
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