Gov shut down Cali with projections that were off by more than 25 million


Gavin Newsom decided to launch a full stay-at-home order based on a state projection that 25.5 million people would become afflicted with coronavirus.

Newsom’s $25.5 Million Estimate

Governor Gavin Newsom of California said he was locking down the state because there was an estimate of 25.5 million projected cases of coronavirus in the state. It was based on a state estimate.

“The state projects that 25.5 million people in California will be infected over an eight-week period, Newsom said in a letter sent to Trump on Wednesday requesting the deployment of the U.S. Navy’s Mercy hospital ship to the Port of Los Angeles through Sept. 1,” the LA Times reported.

It was never a reasonable number, estimating more than half the population of the state would contract the disease in eight weeks. It was a worst case scenario.

Newsom’s lockdown was within two days of Governor Andrew Cuomo’s in New York. Meanwhile, New York has more than 40% of the deaths in the country and over 30% of the cases with only 6% of the nation’s population.

New York has 170,512 cases and 7,847 deaths and 1.4 million Asian population, while California, with a 4.9 million Asian population and double the overall population, has 21,374 cases and 598 deaths. Due to their large number of Asians in Cali traveling from China, they might have gotten the illness sooner. There was anecdotal evidence of a serious flu going around for months before we knew about coronavirus.

Californians are more spread out than New Yorkers, but is that enough to explain it? Herd immunity could explain it if they did indeed have the virus earlier.

Does New York report differently? We can’t say.

Newsom said he followed a state projection, but nationally, our task force used the IHME models.

The IHME’s models took social distancing into account and also came up with extremely high numbers.

On March 30, the IMHE model’s authors claimed the nation would need 8,000 to 250,000 beds to handle the pandemic, even with social distancing.

So these modelers can come up with any crazy projection and close down the economy of a state and a country? They should contribute to policy but not be the end-all.

We can’t say whether or not social distancing is still necessary but it probably helped. However, social distancing isn’t scientific, it’s a theory, and it is not backed up by evidence. It also doesn’t explain California.

For the first time, a U.S. president has declared a national disaster in every state. He declared a disaster in Wyoming, the 50th state to be included.

The governor of Wyoming asked for the declaration, but they only have 253 cases and zero deaths.

Meanwhile, our economy is going down.

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Tim Kuehl
Tim Kuehl
3 years ago

These shutdowns because of false information from phony soothsayers and the cost to honest, hardworking and law abiding citizens is what happens when liberals believe their own lies.

The Prisoner
The Prisoner
3 years ago

Antibody tests show that California had the virus early and no one noticed due to the more devastating regular flu season. Antibody tests prove this. The US did not notice the virus until the media panic caused by China, the WHO, and US “experts”. That’s when the con began and economic war against the US was launched by our own media and “experts”.

Tests at my birthplace hospital in Chicago showed 30% of people have the antibodies. This was used to make a fake claim that minorities are disproportionately affected.

Emergency Powers
Emergency Powers
3 years ago

“Any real state of fear will bring panic, and once panic is the prevailing attitude of society at large, the herd seeks safety at all cost. Seeking safety under these circumstances allows for tyranny by the ruling class, and when the restrictive consequences of that tyranny are in place, escape from mass servitude is almost impossible to achieve. It must be understood that decisions made under stress due to fear end with a loss of freedom, and when freedom is compromised, what is left is slavery.”

Gary D. Barnett

herbert r richmond
herbert r richmond
3 years ago

Good Lord what a disaster, all looking for government funding to make up for all their misdeeds and wasteful spending